As the war in Ukraine continues, insights from The Conference Board help businesses navigate today's volatile landscape. Find Events | Sports. /Resources << Despite continued sparring with the US, 2022 should not be a year of crisis because of Chinas domestic agenda provided that the authorities in Taiwan do not provoke Beijings ire by taking steps towards declaring independence. /Type /Page In January 2022, we halted further purchases of Russian stocks in response to rising risks of sanctions on Russia from the United States and other nations. Spain will hold general elections. Investment involves risks. /S /Transparency /Producer (PyPDF2) This material may contain estimates and forward-looking statements, which may include forecasts and do not represent a guarantee of future performance. /F11 57 0 R 5 0 obj The availability of booster jabs and anti-virals, to treat those admitted to hospital with COVID-19, will mark a further step on their route out of the pandemic. /GS8 21 0 R He disappointed economic liberals, big business, the military and those who looked to him to root out corruption. The Contents do not purport to be complete and is subject to change. /CS /DeviceRGB Export Credit and Investment Insurance, Today and Tomorrow. Latin America has seen (once again) a tilt to the left, with six of the largest economies run by leftist governments once Brazils Luiz Ignacio Lula da Silva takes office in January. The coronavirus pandemic is the third great crisis of the 21st century, following the Sept. 11 terror attacks and the Global Financial Crisis. Some reconstituted supply chains will be shorter, thicker and have greater redundancy. The Conference Board uses cookies to improve our website, enhance your experience, and deliver relevant messages and offers about our products. Published July 25, 2022. The US launches the Artemis mission to the Moon. /Font << . /F1 27 0 R /F4 30 0 R This edition of the BUlletin addresses the evolving role of various international financial institutions in generating sufficient risk capital for development projects and in particular investment in critical infrastructure and renewable energy. In the U.S. and Canada, this material is intended for public distribution. Turkey's Economic Troubles. >> The meeting will take place in Sapporo (Japan). A plurality of the audience thought that the U.S. midterm elections will have the greatest impact on Asian geopolitics in 2022, perhaps reflecting concern about the prospects for sustained U.S. leadership in the region. /Filter /FlateDecode Elections must be held within 60 days of parliamentary dissolution. >> With that in mind, here are five lower-profile geopolitically significant events of 2022, and what they may mean moving forward. But increasing investment in digitalisation of fundamental business processes and decision making is driving a new way of looking at trade finance and risk underwriting. /Contents [51 0 R 52 0 R 53 0 R] We detail the key geopolitical events over the next year in the table below. >> Geopolitical events like military or economic conflicts can affect stock markets in many ways. Are you looking for fun and entertaining things to do? /Image45 34 0 R The impact of those programmes is unlikely to be felt by the time the November midterms come around. AfricaConflict will continue to blight East Africa, with Ethiopia struggling to bring an end to the fighting that began in Tigray but now ranges well beyond it. In the UKand outside the EEA: professional clients (as defined by the Financial Conduct Authority or MiFID Rules) and qualified investors only and should not be relied upon by any other persons. << /Group << A more immediate concern is inflation. 10. /ProcSet [/PDF /Text /ImageB /ImageC /ImageI] China-Africa Relations in Review. Address: 28F., No. /GS5 22 0 R Spain takes over from Czechia in the six-month rotating presidency of the Council of the EU, until 31 December 2023. Registered under the laws of KSA. Technology-driven trade and client interaction are nothing new. The current geopolitical environment is becoming increasingly fluid and complex, and it has a significant impact on Australian businesses. Prime Minister Narendra Modi will be one of the few leaders actively seeking trade deals and energy partnerships around the world, though he will worry that rising interest rates and oil prices could trigger a capital outflow and send the rupee tumbling, which would strain Indian corporations who have borrowed in foreign currency. This pattern is likely to continue in 2022, not least because the richer world is more advanced in vaccinating people against COVID-19. >> House approves measure targeting Biden rule allowing money managers to consider Top takeaways from student loan forgiveness arguments at the Supreme Court, These beaches are the best of the best in US, according to Tripadvisor, Trumps polling strength causes heartburn for Senate GOP. 100, Songren Rd., Xinyi Dist., Taipei City 110, Taiwan. G20 foreign ministers will meet in New Delhi (India) for the first time under the new Indian presidency. Geopolitical Calendar | Control Risks Our Thinking Geopolitical calendar Geopolitical calendar Look ahead to the geopolitical events that will shape your world. BLACKROCK is a trademark of BlackRock, Inc., or its subsidiaries in the United States and elsewhere. Our thought leadership in investing, risk management, portfolio construction and trading solutions. In Singapore,public distribution. G20 Finance Ministers and Central Bank Governors will meet for the 2. In Australia, public distribution. /CropBox [0 0 595.2 841.92] No information on this Website constitutes business, financial, investment, trading, tax, legal, regulatory, accounting or any other advice. /CropBox [0 0 595.2 841.92] Except as expressly provided herein, nothing in this Website should be considered as granting any licence or right under any copyright, patent or trademark or other intellectual property rights of BlackRock or any third party. /CS /DeviceRGB /F2 28 0 R The Power of Corporate Communications: Driving Business Results, 2023 Annual Employee Health Care Conference - San Diego, 2023 Annual Employee Health Care Conference - New York. Further increases in the volume of sovereign debt, at a time of unprecedently low real interest rates, means the servicing burden will be larger still when eventually rates do rise.. Co., Ltd. (Financial Instruments Business Operator: The Kanto Regional Financial Bureau. Track the state of the business cycle for 12 global economies across Asia and Europe. Scheduled elections will take place. Turkeys facilitation of the Russia/Ukraine grain deal highlights the rising role of middle powers in a multipolar world. /F3 29 0 R Oil producing nationsOil producers across the world will greet with relief the prospect of higher prices, but not all are well-placed to benefit. /Pages 2 0 R Upcoming; Month; Week; Day; Mar 8 2022 Tue Small Meeting Room Tuesday, March 8, 2022 7:00pm - 9:00pm Also Occurs On : 10/12/21 11/09/21 Contributors to the July BUlletin explore the development of a new era in export credit, through the lens of proceedings at the IWG; trade wars; sustainability andexport finance regulation, Themes for this month focus on: Linking Trade and Economic Growth /Collaborative approaches toSustainable Development /Wind Financing / Digital Innovation / Venezuela /, By all accounts 2017 was an excellent year for Berne Union members. << North Korean conventional weapons tests. The Shangri-La Dialogue will provide a forum to discuss critical regional security issues. 2:54 am. For your protection, calls are usually recorded. But can Chinas 180 degree shift in priorities from zero-COVID to economic growth deliver? /F7 23 0 R Source: BlackRock Investment Institute, January 2023. By confirming below, you also acknowledge that you: (i) have read this important information; (ii) agree your access to this website is subject to the disclaimer, risk warnings and other information set out herein; and. /Parent 2 0 R 8 0 obj /F1 27 0 R THE HILL 1625 K STREET, NW SUITE 900 WASHINGTON DC 20006 | 202-628-8500 TEL | 202-628-8503 FAX. Despite the challenges there are many positive opportunities emerging for Africa today, Curated by the BU Sub-Saharan Africa Working Group, authors for this special edition of the BUlletin explore areas of growth and the role of different sources of international finance tapping this, exploring the multiple secondary impacts of both the pandemic and the war in Ukraine, from sovereign risk in Africa, to energy security, political violence and the private CPRI market, Shocks and short-circuits: The re-wiring of global trade. >> President George Weah of the ruling Coalition for Democratic Change (CDC) is currently the favourite to secure re-election despite growing public frustration with socioeconomic challenges and perceptions of corruption. Note: European Central Bank meetings shown are those accompanied by press conferences. Incidents of political violence are likely to increase after the campaign period begins and candidates begin to organise rallies. /ExtGState << New foundations in tech, data, and cooperative frameworks may help guide us into the next phase, Now widely recognised as an economic as well as environmental imperativeThe momentum to tackle climate change is buildingChanging perspectives, policy, products and processes across the export credit industry. Thank you, you have successfully been signed up for our Geopolitics Hub updates. The information contained on this website (this Website) (including without limitation the information, functions and documents posted herein (together, the Contents) is made available for informational purposes only. Geopolitical events like military or economic conflicts can affect stock markets in many ways. The pick of key issues to look out for in 2023 from macro trends, potentially choppy seas for smaller ECAs, possibilities for using Islamic finance in the renewable energy transition, Chinas reopening, a bumpy CPRI outlook, and reinsurance complexities. >> << Examines the health of the US economy from the perspective of CEOs. Indonesia, Japan, Brazil, India and others are pursuing their own national strategies to maneuver among the big powers and shape not only their regional environment but broader concepts of shifting global norms as well. /F2 28 0 R Eastern Economic Forum is an annual international forum held in Vladivostok (Russia) that aims to encourage investment and economic development in Russias Far East. 10 0 obj Control Risks Group Holdings Ltd registration no.01548306. Incumbent PM Pedro Sanchez is trailing the favourite centre-right Peoples Party in opinion polls. North Atlantic Treaty Organization heads of state will meet for a NATO summit in Madrid from Tuesday through Thursday. >> 12 0 obj The third anniversary of the killing of George Floyd will be accompanied by memorial events and demonstrations in major US cities and other locations. On the other hand, it drives the further remilitarization of the Arctic, ending a period of science-focused cooperation and testing climate change research and Arctic protection. >> /StructParents 1 The war has now ground on for a year. Politicking is likely to persist in the coming months. COP28 will take place in Dubai (UAE). 11 0 obj The UN Water Conference will focus on the linkages between water, health, sustainable development, climate resilience, and environmental cooperation. 5. A summit between the EU and Ukraine will take place in Kyiv (Ukraine). /MediaBox [0 0 594.95996 840.95996] Geopolitical risk dashboard July 2022 . If the global economy is truly on the road to recovery how can we build the surest path to sustainable growth in our new net-zero world? This Contents are not intended for, or directed to, persons in any countries or jurisdictions that are not enumerated above, or to an audience other than as specified above. K2_Z4/A/jt@?^)99_mtLh6F451@4 r&e$G4 LjC0,H How will all of this affect politics and international relations globally? 1 0 obj Russia chose not to participate in the 2022 meeting, which took place shortly before its invasion of Ukraine. /Type /Pages In Australia, issued by BlackRock Investment Management (Australia) Limited ABN 13 006 165 975 AFSL 230 523 (BIMAL). In Italy: This document is marketing material. What has weakened, perhaps, is the conviction that Western punishment for military action against Ukraine will extend beyond economicsanctions. Traditionally celebrated in support of the military, the holiday is likely to be used to rally public support for Russias military operation in Ukraine, which is expected to escalate in the coming months. /CreationDate (D:20220705215933+01'00') Following the expiration of a 19 January deadline, elections for the Northern Ireland Assembly must be held within 12 weeks (e.g., by 13 April) under current arrangements. Evaluate and optimize the impact of corporate citizenship programs. >> /Annots [69 0 R] >> /Type /Page Source: BlackRock Investment Institute, January 2023. While seemingly contradictory, this both increases the risks of short, sharp clashes between North Korean and South Korean (or even U.S. or Japanese) forces or assets and decreases the risk of rapid escalation to nuclear conflict or all-out war. This refers to when Turkey (formerly Ottoman Empire) as part of a First World War agreement formally renounced claims to Mosul province, Cyprus and other territories in the Eastern Mediterranean. After political parties failed to agree on the formation of the next government, the president scheduled another round of snap elections the fifth elections since April 2021. /S /Transparency The year 2022 will mark an important step back to normality, but COVID-19 retains the ability to change the course of countries, regions and people., This article was published in the Berne Union Yearbook, December 2021. In the United Arab Emirates is only intended for -natural Qualified Investor as defined by the Securities and Commodities Authority (SCA) Chairman Decision No. This months contributors examine three economies seemingly at turning points Argentina, Iran and the Cte dIvoire considering in each case the forces actively inuencing the trade environment and the approach of the nancial Commentators this month focus on support for small businesses, local contractors and risk in Africa - including energy sector and analysis of the Mozambique debt crisis. 7 0 obj /ExtGState << This event took place on 02/26/2023. In Canada: public distribution. /Type /Page /G7 47 0 R Nigeria too will struggle to arrest the trend of insecurity that has spread from its northeast to its northwest, and the challenge to central authority that has emerged in the south. << (iii) are the relevant sophistication level and/or type of audience intended for your respective country or jurisdiction identified below. /F6 32 0 R << /F5 24 0 R /Resources << Avatar: The Way of Water (2022) FuLL Movie Online On. /Type /Group State/Region/County . The information contained within, does not constitute and should not be construed as an offer of, invitation or proposal to make an offer for, recommendation to apply for or an opinion or guidance on a financial product, service and/or strategy. Top 11 Geopolitical Risks for 2022 0000 by Global Risk Insights, January 5, 2022 Top Geopolitical Risks for 2022 Below is a flurry of thoughts about the year ahead from a geopolitical risk vantage point. 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